How will tax proposals impact the economy and markets?

Posted by | November 7, 2017 | Newsletters | No Comments
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Once again, the markets ended the week in positive territory—and all 3 major domestic indexes hit new record highs. The S&P 500 added 0.26%, and the Dow was up 0.45%, with both indexes notching their 8th straight week of growth. The NASDAQ was up for the 6th week in a row with a 0.94% gain.1 International stocks in the MSCI EAFE joined in the growth, posting a 0.90% increase.2

Why did markets continue to perform well last week? In part, economic data, political developments, and policy decisions gave investors a variety of details to digest.

Perspectives We Gained Last Week

  1. Tax Reform

    The House of Representatives released a long-awaited tax-reform bill on November 2, which included a number of changes to current laws. If passed, this legislation would reduce the corporate tax rate to 20% while cutting in half the mortgage-interest deduction.3 The markets responded positively to the bill, in part because of the level of detail it included.4

    Key Takeaway: This tax reform could be significant, but it must pass through several steps ahead before becoming law.

  2. Monetary Policy

    The Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates at their current level for now. In addition, President Trump nominated Jerome Powell to be the new Fed Chair when Janet Yellen’s term ends next February.

    Key Takeaway: Many people expect one more interest rate increase this year. And if the Senate confirms Powell’s nomination, the Fed may stay with the same centrist approach to monetary policy as in recent years.5

  3. Jobs

    After hurricanes contributed to disappointing jobs data for September, the most recent reading showed improvements in hiring. October saw the economy add 261,000 new jobs—below the predicted 313,000—but positive growth, nonetheless. In addition, we received revised data for September, which indicated the economy gained 18,000 jobs during that month, rather than losing the previously reported 33,000.

    Key Takeaway: Hurricanes continue to affect jobs data, but unemployment is now lower than it has been since 2001.6

  4. Business

    The most recent ISM non-manufacturing data shows that many businesses in the service sector are growing. In October, these industries—which range from construction to agriculture—grew at the fastest rate since 2005.

    Key Takeaway: With business activity and new orders on the rise, we may expect to see service-sector expansion continue in future months.7

After last week’s wealth of data and developments, this week’s schedule is relatively quiet. We will continue to monitor incoming details and determine how they may affect our clients’ financial lives. In the meantime, if you have any questions, we are always here to talk.

 

Sources

The information in this article is not intended to be tax or legal advice, and it may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. You are encouraged to seek tax or legal advice from an independent professional advisor. The content is derived from sources believed to be accurate. Neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. This material was written and prepared by Emerald. © 2014 Emerald Connect, LLC